Date: 22 March 2012 Time: 18:30-20:00
Location: The London School of Economics, Room 302, 3rd Floor, Clement
House, London WC2A 2AE
(Where Aldwych meets the Strand)
Chair: James Walton, President, LSE Global Real Estate Group
Guest Speakers:
Find us
Sotiris Tsolacos
Director of
European Research, PPR
Hans Thomas Kessler
Partner, SJ
Berwin
Matthew Webster
Global Head of
Real Estate Financing, HSBC
Ioannis Ganos
Investment Manager,
Blue House Capital
Entry: RSVP to james@south40capital.com
Notes:
At the time of writing, the stability of the European Union and in
particular the longevity of the common currency is in question. A quick
resolution is unlikely. Already high debt burdens placed on the PIIGS
are causing a dramatic change in political leadership. Financial models
and forecasts cannot accurately predict the timing or the outcome of the
fat tail events which appear to be highly probably in the current
situation.
This session
aims to separate outcomes specifically for real estate, taking into
account legal, political and economic scenarios. Questions will include
but not be limited to:
Mechanics of Unwinding:
What happens to rent, payable in the common currency, should a
member state revert back to its local currency? Can the tenant
still be expected to pay rent in the common currency? Will debt
convert in the same fashion as rent? Will lease indexation
provisions revert to local CPI or RPI?
Tail
Risk:
Is the largest risk in the Euro Zone systemic and if so are there
any efficient ways to hedge against the inherent tail risks?
Carry
Trade: A carry
trade is the act of borrowing against an asset in a different
currency to that which the asset is priced in. The objective is
to repay the debt at a more favourable FX rate as well as
service the debt on a lower interest rate to a same currency
loan. Should the Euro be the default currency for the carry
trade? If so what methods? should be considered to execute such
a trade given that most European banks are much more cautious
about lending outside of the Euro Zone?
This
event will be followed by a networking session in the Senior
Common Room in the Old Building at the LSE.
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